Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $50.61 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $330 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $41.15 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $345 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,054 (111.4%) on $946 risked, vs +$3,750 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 9.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $345. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $345 by Jun 19
+$1,054
+111.4% on $946 risked
Max Profit
+$1,054
If the stock โฅ $330 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$946
Net debit
Break-even
$319.46
+3.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.35 / -0.83 / -1.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$571 | -$636 | -$761 | -$946 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$475 | -$530 | -$649 | -$946 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$374 | -$412 | -$508 | -$946 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$269 | -$286 | -$344 | -$946 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$206 | -$209 | -$239 | -$946 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$164 | -$158 | -$168 | -$946 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$122 | -$106 | -$96 | -$581 |
| $323 (+5%) | -$59 | -$30 | +$12 | +$342 |
| $338 (+10%) | +$42 | +$94 | +$184 | +$1,054 |
| $345 (+12%) โ target | +$85 | +$146 | +$256 | +$1,054 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$138 | +$211 | +$344 | +$1,054 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$230 | +$320 | +$486 | +$1,054 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.