Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $330 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $307.5 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $330 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $41.15 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $330 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$6,365 (23.9%) on $26,635 risked, vs +$2,250 (7.3%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $330. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $330 by Jun 19
+$6,365
+23.9% on $26,635 risked
Max Profit
+$6,365
If the stock โฅ $330 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$26,635
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$266.35
-13.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
48.32 / 36.45 / -53.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$3,288 | -$2,775 | -$2,271 | -$2,035 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$2,213 | -$1,601 | -$937 | -$497 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$1,229 | -$528 | +$292 | +$1,040 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$335 | +$441 | +$1,396 | +$2,577 |
| $301 (-2%) | +$159 | +$972 | +$1,995 | +$3,500 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | +$471 | +$1,305 | +$2,365 | +$4,115 |
| $314 (+2%) | +$770 | +$1,622 | +$2,713 | +$4,730 |
| $323 (+5%) | +$1,193 | +$2,067 | +$3,194 | +$5,653 |
| $330 (+7%) โ target | +$1,500 | +$2,386 | +$3,530 | +$6,365 |
| $338 (+10%) | +$1,835 | +$2,730 | +$3,884 | +$6,365 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$2,402 | +$3,302 | +$4,448 | +$6,365 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$2,902 | +$3,792 | +$4,899 | +$6,365 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.