Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $290 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,616 (193.8%) on $1,350 risked, vs $-1,750 (-5.7%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 34.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | +$710 | +$834 | +$1,024 | +$1,109 |
| $261 (-15%) | +$676 | +$815 | +$1,053 | +$1,470 |
| $277 (-10%) | +$626 | +$768 | +$1,031 | +$1,960 |
| $290 (-6%) โ target | +$570 | +$708 | +$970 | +$2,491 |
| $301 (-2%) | +$515 | +$644 | +$888 | +$1,892 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | +$483 | +$605 | +$834 | +$1,598 |
| $314 (+2%) | +$449 | +$563 | +$774 | +$1,325 |
| $323 (+5%) | +$395 | +$495 | +$674 | +$952 |
| $338 (+10%) | +$301 | +$373 | +$489 | +$425 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$201 | +$244 | +$292 | +$3 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$100 | +$112 | +$93 | -$330 |