Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
COHR
$307.50
๐ŸŸข
COHR IV: 81.4% โ€” LOW (-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $290 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $55.5 ยท ฮ” -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $42.0 ยท ฮ” -0.36
P&L at Expiry Now $308 Target $290 $215 $308 $400
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If COHR hits $290 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,616 (193.8%) on $1,350 risked, vs $-1,750 (-5.7%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 34.0ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if COHR hits $290 by Jun 19
+$2,616
+193.8% on $1,350 risked
Max Profit
+$2,574
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$701
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$358.81
+16.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-5.2 / 5.15 / 11.36
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

COHR Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$246 (-20%) +$710 +$834 +$1,024 +$1,109
$261 (-15%) +$676 +$815 +$1,053 +$1,470
$277 (-10%) +$626 +$768 +$1,031 +$1,960
$290 (-6%) โ† target +$570 +$708 +$970 +$2,491
$301 (-2%) +$515 +$644 +$888 +$1,892
$308 (0%) โ† spot +$483 +$605 +$834 +$1,598
$314 (+2%) +$449 +$563 +$774 +$1,325
$323 (+5%) +$395 +$495 +$674 +$952
$338 (+10%) +$301 +$373 +$489 +$425
$354 (+15%) +$201 +$244 +$292 +$3
$369 (+20%) +$100 +$112 +$93 -$330
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.