Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $50.61 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $345 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-1,561 (-30.8%) on $5,061 risked, vs +$3,750 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 2.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $345. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $345 by Jun 19
$-1,561
-30.8% on $5,061 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$5,061
Premium paid
Break-even
$360.61
+17.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.03 / -37.28 / 51.99
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$3,434 | -$4,012 | -$4,640 | -$5,061 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$2,875 | -$3,541 | -$4,324 | -$5,061 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$2,220 | -$2,959 | -$3,874 | -$5,061 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$1,472 | -$2,266 | -$3,279 | -$5,061 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$980 | -$1,797 | -$2,849 | -$5,061 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$635 | -$1,463 | -$2,533 | -$5,061 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$276 | -$1,113 | -$2,194 | -$4,696 |
| $323 (+5%) | +$286 | -$559 | -$1,644 | -$3,773 |
| $338 (+10%) | +$1,282 | +$439 | -$625 | -$2,236 |
| $345 (+12%) โ target | +$1,742 | +$904 | -$140 | -$1,561 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$2,348 | +$1,521 | +$508 | -$699 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$3,478 | +$2,678 | +$1,737 | +$839 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.