Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $48.33 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $270 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-833 (-17.2%) on $4,833 risked, vs $-3,750 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 1.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $270 by Jun 19
$-833
-17.2% on $4,833 risked
Max Profit
+$26,167
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$4,833
Premium paid
Break-even
$261.67
-14.9% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.17 / -34.56 / 52.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | +$2,939 | +$2,445 | +$1,900 | +$1,567 |
| $261 (-15%) | +$1,960 | +$1,378 | +$678 | +$29 |
| $270 (-12%) โ target | +$1,454 | +$828 | +$51 | -$833 |
| $277 (-10%) | +$1,078 | +$422 | -$409 | -$1,508 |
| $292 (-5%) | +$289 | -$421 | -$1,350 | -$3,045 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$142 | -$875 | -$1,844 | -$3,968 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$412 | -$1,157 | -$2,143 | -$4,583 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$668 | -$1,422 | -$2,419 | -$4,833 |
| $323 (+5%) | -$1,029 | -$1,790 | -$2,792 | -$4,833 |
| $338 (+10%) | -$1,570 | -$2,330 | -$3,310 | -$4,833 |
| $354 (+15%) | -$2,041 | -$2,785 | -$3,714 | -$4,833 |
| $369 (+20%) | -$2,449 | -$3,166 | -$4,023 | -$4,833 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.