Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $345 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $307.5 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $345 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,750 (12.2%) on $30,750 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $345 by Jun 19
+$3,750
+12.2% on $30,750 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$30,750
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$307.50
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$6,150 | -$6,150 | -$6,150 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$4,612 | -$4,612 | -$4,612 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$3,075 | -$3,075 | -$3,075 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$1,538 | -$1,538 | -$1,538 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$615 | -$615 | -$615 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $314 (+2%) | +$615 | +$615 | +$615 |
| $323 (+5%) | +$1,538 | +$1,538 | +$1,538 |
| $338 (+10%) | +$3,075 | +$3,075 | +$3,075 |
| $345 (+12%) โ target | +$3,750 | +$3,750 | +$3,750 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$4,612 | +$4,612 | +$4,612 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$6,150 | +$6,150 | +$6,150 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.