Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $340 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $307.5 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $42.0 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $340 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-950 (-2.7%) on $34,950 risked, vs +$3,250 (10.6%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $340. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $340 by Jun 19
$-950
-2.7% on $34,950 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$5,950
Put floors you at $290
Break-even
$349.50
+13.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.25 / -32.31 / 50.17
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$4,084 | -$4,637 | -$5,305 | -$5,950 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$3,416 | -$4,039 | -$4,836 | -$5,950 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$2,649 | -$3,323 | -$4,209 | -$5,950 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$1,789 | -$2,492 | -$3,423 | -$5,738 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$1,230 | -$1,942 | -$2,879 | -$4,815 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$841 | -$1,555 | -$2,488 | -$4,200 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$440 | -$1,152 | -$2,075 | -$3,585 |
| $323 (+5%) | +$185 | -$521 | -$1,419 | -$2,662 |
| $340 (+11%) โ target | +$1,411 | +$731 | -$97 | -$950 |
| $354 (+15%) | +$2,443 | +$1,792 | +$1,035 | +$412 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$3,659 | +$3,049 | +$2,382 | +$1,950 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.