Target Price Playground
COHR
$307.50
๐ข
COHR IV: 81.5% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 113.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $50.61 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $310 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $48.33 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If COHR hits $355 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-5,394 (-54.5%) on $9,894 risked, vs +$4,750 (15.4%) for 100 shares on $30,750. Options give 3.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if COHR is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if COHR hits $355 by Jun 19
$-5,394
-54.5% on $9,894 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$9,894
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$211.06
-31.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.86 / -71.83 / 104.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| COHR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $246 (-20%) | -$495 | -$1,567 | -$2,740 | -$3,494 |
| $261 (-15%) | -$914 | -$2,163 | -$3,646 | -$5,032 |
| $277 (-10%) | -$1,142 | -$2,537 | -$4,284 | -$6,569 |
| $292 (-5%) | -$1,183 | -$2,687 | -$4,629 | -$8,106 |
| $301 (-2%) | -$1,122 | -$2,672 | -$4,693 | -$9,029 |
| $308 (0%) โ spot | -$1,046 | -$2,620 | -$4,676 | -$9,644 |
| $314 (+2%) | -$945 | -$2,535 | -$4,613 | -$9,529 |
| $323 (+5%) | -$744 | -$2,349 | -$4,436 | -$8,606 |
| $338 (+10%) | -$288 | -$1,891 | -$3,935 | -$7,069 |
| $355 (+15%) โ target | +$367 | -$1,200 | -$3,131 | -$5,394 |
| $369 (+20%) | +$1,028 | -$488 | -$2,286 | -$3,994 |
Uses COHR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.