Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.68 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.15 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$97 (183.0%) on $53 risked, vs +$218 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 15.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19
+$97
+183.0% on $53 risked
Max Profit
+$97
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$53
Net debit
Break-even
$19.03
+3.88% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.22 / -0.09 / -0.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$25 | -$30 | -$40 | -$53 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$19 | -$23 | -$32 | -$53 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$11 | -$14 | -$21 | -$53 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$4 | -$5 | -$10 | -$53 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$1 | +$1 | -$2 | -$53 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | +$4 | +$3 | -$53 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$7 | +$8 | +$8 | -$34 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$12 | +$14 | +$16 | +$21 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$19 | +$23 | +$29 | +$97 |
| $21 (+12%) โ target | +$22 | +$26 | +$33 | +$97 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$26 | +$31 | +$41 | +$97 |
| $22 (+20%) | +$33 | +$39 | +$51 | +$97 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.