Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.71 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $17 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.85 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $16 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$64 (74.8%) on $86 risked, vs $-232 (-12.7%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 5.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $16 by Jun 19
+$64
+74.8% on $86 risked
Max Profit
+$64
If the stock โค $17 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$86
Net debit
Break-even
$17.64
-3.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.18 / -0.15 / 0.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$26 | +$30 | +$39 | +$64 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$18 | +$20 | +$27 | +$64 |
| $16 (-13%) โ target | +$14 | +$16 | +$21 | +$64 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$9 | +$10 | +$14 | +$64 |
| $17 (-5%) | +$1 | +$0 | -$0 | +$24 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$4 | -$6 | -$9 | -$31 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$7 | -$10 | -$14 | -$68 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$10 | -$14 | -$20 | -$86 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$15 | -$19 | -$27 | -$86 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$22 | -$28 | -$39 | -$86 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$29 | -$36 | -$49 | -$86 |
| $22 (+20%) | -$36 | -$44 | -$58 | -$86 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.