Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $18.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.15 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $20 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$383 (23.7%) on $1,617 risked, vs +$168 (9.2%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $20 by Jun 19
+$383
+23.7% on $1,617 risked
Max Profit
+$383
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,617
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$16.17
-11.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
51.03 / 1.99 / -3.26
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$224 | -$193 | -$164 | -$151 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$160 | -$123 | -$84 | -$60 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$100 | -$58 | -$9 | +$32 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$46 | +$1 | +$58 | +$123 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$15 | +$34 | +$95 | +$178 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$4 | +$55 | +$118 | +$215 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$23 | +$74 | +$140 | +$252 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$49 | +$102 | +$171 | +$307 |
| $20 (+9%) โ target | +$82 | +$137 | +$208 | +$383 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$124 | +$179 | +$251 | +$383 |
| $22 (+20%) | +$155 | +$210 | +$280 | +$383 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.