Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.4% โ LOW
(-39.7% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.18 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.17 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $18 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$121 (119.8%) on $101 risked, vs $-82 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 26.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $18 by Jun 19
+$121
+119.8% on $101 risked
Max Profit
+$121
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$65
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$20.47
+11.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.07 / 0.28 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$9 | +$16 | +$26 | +$28 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$8 | +$16 | +$30 | +$50 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$6 | +$15 | +$30 | +$79 |
| $18 (-4%) โ target | +$3 | +$12 | +$28 | +$121 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$1 | +$10 | +$25 | +$98 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$8 | +$23 | +$80 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$2 | +$6 | +$20 | +$64 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$4 | +$3 | +$15 | +$41 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$8 | -$3 | +$6 | +$10 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$13 | -$10 | -$4 | -$16 |
| $22 (+20%) | -$18 | -$16 | -$15 | -$36 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.