Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.68 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-68 (-25.4%) on $268 risked, vs +$218 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19
$-68
-25.4% on $268 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$268
Premium paid
Break-even
$21.18
+15.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.19 / -2.08 / 3.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$167 | -$203 | -$242 | -$268 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$134 | -$175 | -$222 | -$268 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$95 | -$140 | -$195 | -$268 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$50 | -$98 | -$160 | -$268 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$21 | -$70 | -$134 | -$268 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$50 | -$115 | -$268 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$22 | -$29 | -$95 | -$249 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$55 | +$4 | -$63 | -$194 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$114 | +$62 | -$3 | -$103 |
| $21 (+12%) โ target | +$138 | +$86 | +$22 | -$68 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$177 | +$127 | +$65 | -$11 |
| $22 (+20%) | +$244 | +$195 | +$137 | +$80 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.