Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.4% โ LOW
(-39.7% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $16 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.71 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $16 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-21 (-7.7%) on $271 risked, vs $-232 (-12.7%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $16. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $16 by Jun 19
$-21
-7.7% on $271 risked
Max Profit
+$1,579
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$271
Premium paid
Break-even
$15.79
-13.8% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.81 / -1.86 / 3.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$198 | +$168 | +$134 | +$113 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$141 | +$105 | +$62 | +$22 |
| $16 (-13%) โ target | +$116 | +$78 | +$31 | -$21 |
| $16 (-10%) | +$88 | +$48 | -$3 | -$70 |
| $17 (-5%) | +$42 | -$2 | -$58 | -$161 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$16 | -$29 | -$88 | -$216 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$46 | -$106 | -$253 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$16 | -$62 | -$122 | -$271 |
| $19 (+5%) | -$37 | -$84 | -$145 | -$271 |
| $20 (+10%) | -$69 | -$116 | -$176 | -$271 |
| $21 (+15%) | -$98 | -$143 | -$200 | -$271 |
| $22 (+20%) | -$122 | -$166 | -$219 | -$271 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.