Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $20 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $18.32 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.17 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $20 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-49 (-2.4%) on $2,049 risked, vs +$168 (9.2%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $20. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $20 by Jun 19
$-49
-2.4% on $2,049 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$299
Put floors you at $18
Break-even
$20.49
+11.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.97 / -1.8 / 2.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$189 | -$223 | -$263 | -$299 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$151 | -$188 | -$236 | -$299 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$106 | -$147 | -$200 | -$299 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$56 | -$99 | -$156 | -$299 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$23 | -$67 | -$125 | -$254 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$44 | -$102 | -$217 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$23 | -$21 | -$78 | -$180 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$60 | +$16 | -$40 | -$125 |
| $20 (+9%) โ target | +$113 | +$70 | +$16 | -$49 |
| $21 (+15%) | +$192 | +$151 | +$102 | +$58 |
| $22 (+20%) | +$263 | +$224 | +$180 | +$149 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.