Target Price Playground
CORZ
$18.32
๐ข
CORZ IV: 79.9% โ LOW
(-39.3% vs 30d avg of 131.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.68 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.71 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-289 (-53.6%) on $539 risked, vs +$268 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $1,832. Options give 3.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CORZ is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CORZ hits $21 by Jun 19
$-289
-53.6% on $539 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$539
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$13.11
-28.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.37 / -3.94 / 6.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CORZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$31 | -$35 | -$107 | -$155 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$7 | -$69 | -$160 | -$246 |
| $16 (-10%) | -$6 | -$91 | -$198 | -$338 |
| $17 (-5%) | -$8 | -$100 | -$218 | -$429 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$5 | -$99 | -$222 | -$484 |
| $18 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$96 | -$221 | -$521 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$6 | -$91 | -$217 | -$520 |
| $19 (+5%) | +$18 | -$80 | -$207 | -$465 |
| $20 (+10%) | +$44 | -$53 | -$178 | -$374 |
| $21 (+15%) โ target | +$77 | -$20 | -$139 | -$289 |
| $22 (+20%) | +$122 | +$29 | -$82 | -$191 |
Uses CORZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.