Target Price Playground
CRDO
$119.59
๐ข
CRDO IV: 85.9% โ LOW
(-20.8% vs 30d avg of 108.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $120 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.9 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $130 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.3 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CRDO hits $135 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$340 (51.5%) on $660 risked, vs +$1,541 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $11,959. Options give 4.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CRDO is at $135. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CRDO hits $135 by Jun 19
+$340
+51.5% on $660 risked
Max Profit
+$340
If the stock โฅ $130 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$660
Net debit
Break-even
$126.60
+5.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.51 / -0.27 / -0.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CRDO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $96 (-20%) | -$469 | -$501 | -$562 | -$660 |
| $102 (-15%) | -$423 | -$449 | -$507 | -$660 |
| $108 (-10%) | -$375 | -$392 | -$439 | -$660 |
| $114 (-5%) | -$325 | -$333 | -$361 | -$660 |
| $117 (-2%) | -$295 | -$296 | -$311 | -$660 |
| $120 (0%) โ spot | -$275 | -$272 | -$277 | -$660 |
| $122 (+2%) | -$255 | -$247 | -$243 | -$462 |
| $126 (+5%) | -$225 | -$211 | -$192 | -$103 |
| $132 (+10%) | -$177 | -$152 | -$109 | +$340 |
| $135 (+13%) โ target | -$150 | -$119 | -$64 | +$340 |
| $138 (+15%) | -$131 | -$96 | -$33 | +$340 |
| $144 (+20%) | -$87 | -$43 | +$37 | +$340 |
Uses CRDO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.