Target Price Playground
CRDO
$119.59
๐ข
CRDO IV: 85.9% โ LOW
(-20.8% vs 30d avg of 108.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $119.59 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CRDO hits $135 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$1,541 (12.9%) on $11,959 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CRDO hits $135 by Jun 19
+$1,541
+12.9% on $11,959 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$11,959
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$119.59
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CRDO Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $96 (-20%) | -$2,392 | -$2,392 | -$2,392 |
| $102 (-15%) | -$1,794 | -$1,794 | -$1,794 |
| $108 (-10%) | -$1,196 | -$1,196 | -$1,196 |
| $114 (-5%) | -$598 | -$598 | -$598 |
| $117 (-2%) | -$239 | -$239 | -$239 |
| $120 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $122 (+2%) | +$239 | +$239 | +$239 |
| $126 (+5%) | +$598 | +$598 | +$598 |
| $132 (+10%) | +$1,196 | +$1,196 | +$1,196 |
| $135 (+13%) โ target | +$1,541 | +$1,541 | +$1,541 |
| $138 (+15%) | +$1,794 | +$1,794 | +$1,794 |
| $144 (+20%) | +$2,392 | +$2,392 | +$2,392 |
Uses CRDO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.