Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
CRWD
$379.02
๐ŸŸข
CRWD IV: 50.0% โ€” LOW (-20.9% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $360 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $380 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $40.37 ยท ฮ” -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $360 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.77 ยท ฮ” -0.39
P&L at Expiry Now $379 Target $360 $265 $379 $493
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If CRWD hits $360 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,872 (148.6%) on $1,260 risked, vs $-1,902 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $37,902. Options give 29.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CRWD is at $360. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if CRWD hits $360 by Jun 19
+$1,872
+148.6% on $1,260 risked
Max Profit
+$1,838
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$1,189
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$400.47
+5.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-8.01 / 4.77 / 14.13
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

CRWD Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$303 (-20%) +$655 +$734 +$809 +$720
$322 (-15%) +$604 +$711 +$864 +$904
$341 (-10%) +$516 +$636 +$842 +$1,264
$360 (-5%) โ† target +$394 +$505 +$712 +$1,858
$371 (-2%) +$306 +$403 +$582 +$1,204
$379 (0%) โ† spot +$243 +$327 +$479 +$827
$387 (+2%) +$177 +$246 +$365 +$492
$398 (+5%) +$75 +$119 +$182 +$67
$417 (+10%) -$100 -$100 -$131 -$458
$436 (+15%) -$271 -$313 -$419 -$798
$455 (+20%) -$433 -$508 -$660 -$1,006
Uses CRWD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.