Target Price Playground
CRWD
$379.02
๐ข
CRWD IV: 49.2% โ LOW
(-22.1% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $425 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.25 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CRWD hits $425 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,175 (35.3%) on $3,325 risked, vs +$4,598 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $37,902. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CRWD is at $425. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CRWD hits $425 by Jun 19
+$1,175
+35.3% on $3,325 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,325
Premium paid
Break-even
$413.25
+9.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.33 / -27.21 / 64.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CRWD Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $303 (-20%) | -$2,731 | -$3,022 | -$3,259 | -$3,325 |
| $322 (-15%) | -$2,306 | -$2,712 | -$3,118 | -$3,325 |
| $341 (-10%) | -$1,711 | -$2,223 | -$2,811 | -$3,325 |
| $360 (-5%) | -$935 | -$1,525 | -$2,259 | -$3,325 |
| $371 (-2%) | -$380 | -$1,000 | -$1,788 | -$3,325 |
| $379 (0%) โ spot | +$25 | -$607 | -$1,413 | -$3,325 |
| $387 (+2%) | +$458 | -$179 | -$991 | -$2,665 |
| $398 (+5%) | +$1,158 | +$523 | -$273 | -$1,528 |
| $417 (+10%) | +$2,447 | +$1,842 | +$1,124 | +$367 |
| $425 (+12%) โ target | +$3,039 | +$2,454 | +$1,782 | +$1,175 |
| $436 (+15%) | +$3,871 | +$3,319 | +$2,715 | +$2,262 |
| $455 (+20%) | +$5,408 | +$4,920 | +$4,438 | +$4,157 |
Uses CRWD's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.