Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
CSCO
$82.22
๐ŸŸข
CSCO IV: 30.1% โ€” LOW (-37.8% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $86 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.58 ยท ฮ” -0.23
P&L at Expiry Now $82 Target $86 $58 $82 $107
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If CSCO hits $86 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$158 (2.1%) on $-158 credit (max loss $7,442), vs +$378 (4.6%) for 100 shares on $8,222. Options give 0.5ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CSCO is at $86. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if CSCO hits $86 by Jun 19
+$158
+2.1% on $7,442 max loss
Max Profit
+$158
If the stock โ‰ฅ $76 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$7,442
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$74.42
-9.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
23.36 / 2.21 / -10.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

CSCO Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$66 (-20%) -$873 -$857 -$850 -$864
$70 (-15%) -$558 -$518 -$474 -$453
$74 (-10%) -$306 -$248 -$172 -$42
$78 (-5%) -$122 -$61 +$20 +$158
$81 (-2%) -$42 +$15 +$85 +$158
$82 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$53 +$113 +$158
$84 (+2%) +$35 +$82 +$131 +$158
$86 (+5%) โ† target +$70 +$109 +$145 +$158
$90 (+10%) +$117 +$140 +$156 +$158
$95 (+15%) +$139 +$152 +$158 +$158
$99 (+20%) +$150 +$156 +$158 +$158
Uses CSCO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.