Target Price Playground
CSCO
$82.22
๐ข
CSCO IV: 30.1% โ LOW
(-37.8% vs 30d avg of 48.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $92 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $82 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.75 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CSCO hits $92 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$525 (110.6%) on $475 risked, vs +$978 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $8,222. Options give 9.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CSCO is at $92. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CSCO hits $92 by Jun 19
+$525
+110.6% on $475 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$475
Premium paid
Break-even
$86.75
+5.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.92 / -3.69 / 13.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CSCO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $66 (-20%) | -$453 | -$468 | -$475 | -$475 |
| $70 (-15%) | -$414 | -$447 | -$471 | -$475 |
| $74 (-10%) | -$334 | -$391 | -$447 | -$475 |
| $78 (-5%) | -$198 | -$277 | -$370 | -$475 |
| $81 (-2%) | -$87 | -$173 | -$281 | -$475 |
| $82 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$88 | -$200 | -$453 |
| $84 (+2%) | +$96 | +$8 | -$102 | -$289 |
| $86 (+5%) | +$259 | +$174 | +$73 | -$42 |
| $90 (+10%) | +$570 | +$497 | +$422 | +$369 |
| $92 (+12%) โ target | +$699 | +$632 | +$566 | +$525 |
| $95 (+15%) | +$920 | +$862 | +$811 | +$780 |
| $99 (+20%) | +$1,295 | +$1,251 | +$1,216 | +$1,191 |
Uses CSCO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.