Target Price Playground
CTSH
$57.92
๐ข
CTSH IV: 36.6% โ LOW
(-39.6% vs 30d avg of 60.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $65 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $58 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.91 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CTSH hits $65 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$309 (79.0%) on $391 risked, vs +$708 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $5,792. Options give 6.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CTSH is at $65. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CTSH hits $65 by Jun 19
+$309
+79.0% on $391 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$391
Premium paid
Break-even
$61.91
+6.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.91 / -3.1 / 9.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CTSH Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $46 (-20%) | -$356 | -$377 | -$389 | -$391 |
| $49 (-15%) | -$315 | -$351 | -$382 | -$391 |
| $52 (-10%) | -$245 | -$299 | -$355 | -$391 |
| $55 (-5%) | -$141 | -$208 | -$290 | -$391 |
| $57 (-2%) | -$61 | -$133 | -$225 | -$391 |
| $58 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$74 | -$169 | -$391 |
| $59 (+2%) | +$67 | -$8 | -$103 | -$283 |
| $61 (+5%) | +$177 | +$103 | +$13 | -$109 |
| $64 (+10%) | +$383 | +$317 | +$242 | +$180 |
| $65 (+12%) โ target | +$484 | +$422 | +$356 | +$309 |
| $67 (+15%) | +$616 | +$559 | +$504 | +$470 |
| $70 (+20%) | +$867 | +$821 | +$781 | +$759 |
Uses CTSH's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.