Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $100 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $89 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.55 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $96 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.76 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $100 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$422 (151.4%) on $278 risked, vs +$1,113 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 12.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $100. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $100 by Jun 19
+$422
+151.4% on $278 risked
Max Profit
+$422
If the stock โฅ $96 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$278
Net debit
Break-even
$91.78
+3.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.86 / -0.14 / 0.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | -$199 | -$226 | -$261 | -$279 |
| $76 (-15%) | -$159 | -$187 | -$233 | -$279 |
| $80 (-10%) | -$111 | -$135 | -$183 | -$279 |
| $84 (-5%) | -$57 | -$74 | -$111 | -$279 |
| $87 (-2%) | -$23 | -$33 | -$59 | -$279 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$6 | -$21 | -$279 |
| $91 (+2%) | +$22 | +$22 | +$17 | -$114 |
| $93 (+5%) | +$56 | +$64 | +$75 | +$152 |
| $98 (+10%) | +$111 | +$130 | +$166 | +$421 |
| $100 (+13%) โ target | +$137 | +$161 | +$208 | +$421 |
| $102 (+15%) | +$162 | +$190 | +$244 | +$421 |
| $107 (+20%) | +$207 | +$243 | +$305 | +$421 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.