Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $78 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $89 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.94 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $82 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.71 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $78 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$376 (116.2%) on $324 risked, vs $-1,087 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 9.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $78. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $78 by Jun 19
+$376
+116.2% on $324 risked
Max Profit
+$376
If the stock โค $82 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$324
Net debit
Break-even
$85.76
-3.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.22 / -0.47 / 1.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | +$237 | +$266 | +$316 | +$377 |
| $76 (-15%) | +$182 | +$206 | +$253 | +$377 |
| $78 (-12%) โ target | +$150 | +$168 | +$207 | +$377 |
| $80 (-10%) | +$123 | +$136 | +$166 | +$377 |
| $84 (-5%) | +$61 | +$61 | +$64 | +$134 |
| $87 (-2%) | +$25 | +$17 | +$2 | -$132 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$12 | -$38 | -$310 |
| $91 (+2%) | -$22 | -$40 | -$76 | -$323 |
| $93 (+5%) | -$56 | -$80 | -$128 | -$323 |
| $98 (+10%) | -$106 | -$139 | -$198 | -$323 |
| $102 (+15%) | -$151 | -$187 | -$248 | -$323 |
| $107 (+20%) | -$188 | -$225 | -$280 | -$323 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.