Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $84 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $89 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.34 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $84 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.53 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $84 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$407 (106.9%) on $381 risked, vs $-487 (-5.5%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 19.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $84. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $84 by Jun 19
+$407
+106.9% on $381 risked
Max Profit
+$395
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$356
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$92.38
+3.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.31 / 0.75 / 3.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | +$99 | +$120 | +$145 | +$126 |
| $76 (-15%) | +$85 | +$113 | +$155 | +$180 |
| $80 (-10%) | +$63 | +$93 | +$146 | +$275 |
| $84 (-5%) โ target | +$38 | +$66 | +$117 | +$407 |
| $87 (-2%) | +$14 | +$38 | +$83 | +$232 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$21 | +$59 | +$145 |
| $91 (+2%) | -$15 | +$2 | +$33 | +$67 |
| $93 (+5%) | -$39 | -$27 | -$9 | -$33 |
| $98 (+10%) | -$79 | -$77 | -$82 | -$161 |
| $102 (+15%) | -$119 | -$127 | -$150 | -$247 |
| $107 (+20%) | -$157 | -$173 | -$209 | -$302 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.