Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $78 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $89 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.94 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $78 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$306 (38.5%) on $794 risked, vs $-1,087 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $78. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $78 by Jun 19
+$306
+38.5% on $794 risked
Max Profit
+$8,106
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$794
Premium paid
Break-even
$81.06
-8.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.2 / -5.54 / 15.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | +$1,100 | +$1,042 | +$995 | +$996 |
| $76 (-15%) | +$766 | +$682 | +$593 | +$552 |
| $78 (-12%) โ target | +$598 | +$499 | +$386 | +$306 |
| $80 (-10%) | +$471 | +$363 | +$231 | +$108 |
| $84 (-5%) | +$216 | +$90 | -$74 | -$337 |
| $87 (-2%) | +$82 | -$51 | -$227 | -$603 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$135 | -$315 | -$781 |
| $91 (+2%) | -$75 | -$212 | -$394 | -$794 |
| $93 (+5%) | -$178 | -$314 | -$492 | -$794 |
| $98 (+10%) | -$322 | -$453 | -$614 | -$794 |
| $102 (+15%) | -$437 | -$556 | -$692 | -$794 |
| $107 (+20%) | -$527 | -$631 | -$739 | -$794 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.