Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $98 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $88.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $84 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.53 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $98 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$360 (3.8%) on $9,440 risked, vs +$913 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $98. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $98 by Jun 19
+$360
+3.8% on $9,440 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,040
Put floors you at $84
Break-even
$94.40
+6.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.3 / -5.28 / 14.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | -$843 | -$922 | -$1,004 | -$1,040 |
| $76 (-15%) | -$695 | -$798 | -$922 | -$1,040 |
| $80 (-10%) | -$504 | -$624 | -$781 | -$1,040 |
| $84 (-5%) | -$271 | -$400 | -$570 | -$997 |
| $87 (-2%) | -$113 | -$242 | -$412 | -$731 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$128 | -$294 | -$553 |
| $91 (+2%) | +$119 | -$7 | -$166 | -$375 |
| $93 (+5%) | +$307 | +$186 | +$39 | -$109 |
| $98 (+10%) โ target | +$663 | +$556 | +$438 | +$360 |
| $102 (+15%) | +$1,006 | +$913 | +$821 | +$780 |
| $107 (+20%) | +$1,388 | +$1,311 | +$1,244 | +$1,224 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.