Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $100 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $89 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.55 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $89 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.94 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $100 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-549 (-33.3%) on $1,649 risked, vs +$1,113 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $100. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $100 by Jun 19
$-549
-33.3% on $1,649 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,649
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$72.51
-18.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.6 / -12.16 / 30.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | +$421 | +$283 | +$164 | +$141 |
| $76 (-15%) | +$199 | +$6 | -$196 | -$303 |
| $80 (-10%) | +$53 | -$188 | -$475 | -$747 |
| $84 (-5%) | -$13 | -$290 | -$642 | -$1,192 |
| $87 (-2%) | -$15 | -$304 | -$680 | -$1,458 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$295 | -$679 | -$1,636 |
| $91 (+2%) | +$26 | -$271 | -$658 | -$1,484 |
| $93 (+5%) | +$88 | -$209 | -$589 | -$1,218 |
| $98 (+10%) | +$244 | -$41 | -$388 | -$773 |
| $100 (+13%) โ target | +$345 | +$71 | -$251 | -$549 |
| $102 (+15%) | +$458 | +$196 | -$99 | -$329 |
| $107 (+20%) | +$723 | +$490 | +$251 | +$115 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.