Target Price Playground
CVLT
$88.87
๐ก
CVLT IV: 53.8% โ NORMAL
(-9.2% vs 30d avg of 59.2%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $96 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $88.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $96 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.76 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CVLT hits $96 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,289 (15.5%) on $8,311 risked, vs +$713 (8.0%) for 100 shares on $8,887. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CVLT is at $96. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CVLT hits $96 by Jun 19
+$1,289
+15.5% on $8,311 risked
Max Profit
+$1,289
If the stock โฅ $96 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$8,311
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$83.11
-6.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.06 / 6.49 / -14.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CVLT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71 (-20%) | -$1,298 | -$1,243 | -$1,207 | -$1,201 |
| $76 (-15%) | -$925 | -$844 | -$777 | -$757 |
| $80 (-10%) | -$581 | -$473 | -$366 | -$313 |
| $84 (-5%) | -$272 | -$138 | +$12 | +$132 |
| $87 (-2%) | -$105 | +$42 | +$217 | +$398 |
| $89 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$154 | +$343 | +$576 |
| $91 (+2%) | +$98 | +$259 | +$459 | +$754 |
| $93 (+5%) | +$235 | +$403 | +$616 | +$1,020 |
| $96 (+8%) โ target | +$359 | +$532 | +$752 | +$1,289 |
| $98 (+10%) | +$434 | +$608 | +$829 | +$1,289 |
| $102 (+15%) | +$599 | +$771 | +$985 | +$1,289 |
| $107 (+20%) | +$735 | +$899 | +$1,092 | +$1,289 |
Uses CVLT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.