Target Price Playground
CWAN
$24.00
๐ข
CWAN IV: 1.1% โ LOW
(-99.0% vs 30d avg of 108.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.44 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CWAN hits $27 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$256 (583.2%) on $44 risked, vs +$300 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $2,400. Options give 46.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CWAN is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CWAN hits $27 by Jun 19
+$256
+583.2% on $44 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$44
Premium paid
Break-even
$24.44
+1.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
0%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
60.07 / -0.41 / 3.97
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CWAN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $19 (-20%) | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 |
| $20 (-15%) | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 |
| $22 (-10%) | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 |
| $23 (-5%) | -$40 | -$42 | -$44 | -$44 |
| $24 (-2%) | -$23 | -$31 | -$39 | -$44 |
| $24 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$10 | -$21 | -$44 |
| $24 (+2%) | +$34 | +$24 | +$14 | +$4 |
| $25 (+5%) | +$98 | +$90 | +$83 | +$76 |
| $26 (+10%) | +$216 | +$209 | +$203 | +$196 |
| $27 (+12%) โ target | +$276 | +$269 | +$263 | +$256 |
| $28 (+15%) | +$336 | +$329 | +$323 | +$316 |
| $29 (+20%) | +$456 | +$449 | +$443 | +$436 |
Uses CWAN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.