Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.31 ยท ฮ -0.51
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.1 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $5 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$29 (143.5%) on $21 risked, vs $-40 (-7.4%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 19.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $5 by Jun 19
+$29
+143.5% on $21 risked
Max Profit
+$29
If the stock โค $5 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$21
Net debit
Break-even
$5.29
-1.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-27.22 / -0.03 / 0.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$25 | +$27 | +$28 | +$29 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$21 | +$23 | +$26 | +$29 |
| $5 (-10%) | +$15 | +$17 | +$20 | +$29 |
| $5 (-7%) โ target | +$11 | +$12 | +$15 | +$29 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$7 | +$8 | +$9 | +$16 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$3 | +$2 | +$2 | -$0 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$1 | -$3 | -$11 |
| $6 (+2%) | -$3 | -$5 | -$7 | -$21 |
| $6 (+5%) | -$7 | -$9 | -$13 | -$21 |
| $6 (+10%) | -$12 | -$15 | -$18 | -$21 |
| $6 (+15%) | -$16 | -$18 | -$20 | -$21 |
| $6 (+20%) | -$18 | -$20 | -$21 | -$21 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.