Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.1 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $6 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$10 (2.1%) on $-10 credit (max loss $490), vs +$10 (1.9%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $6 by Jun 19
+$10
+2.1% on $490 max loss
Max Profit
+$10
If the stock โฅ $5 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$490
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$4.90
-9.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
89%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
23.35 / 0.14 / -0.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$58 | -$57 | -$57 | -$58 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$37 | -$35 | -$32 | -$31 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$20 | -$17 | -$12 | -$4 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$8 | -$4 | +$1 | +$10 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$3 | +$1 | +$5 | +$10 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$3 | +$7 | +$10 |
| $6 (+2%) โ target | +$2 | +$5 | +$8 | +$10 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$5 | +$7 | +$9 | +$10 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$7 | +$9 | +$10 | +$10 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$9 | +$10 | +$10 | +$10 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$10 | +$10 | +$10 | +$10 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.