Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.4 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.09 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $6 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$69 (13.1%) on $531 risked, vs +$60 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $6 by Jun 19
+$69
+13.1% on $531 risked
Max Profit
+$69
If the stock โฅ $6 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$531
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$5.31
-1.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
75.53 / 0.18 / -0.73
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$99 | -$99 | -$99 | -$99 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$73 | -$72 | -$72 | -$72 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$47 | -$46 | -$45 | -$45 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$22 | -$20 | -$18 | -$18 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$9 | -$6 | -$3 | -$2 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$4 | +$7 | +$9 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$8 | +$12 | +$17 | +$20 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$18 | +$24 | +$30 | +$36 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$33 | +$39 | +$47 | +$63 |
| $6 (+11%) โ target | +$36 | +$42 | +$50 | +$69 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$44 | +$50 | +$58 | +$69 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$52 | +$58 | +$64 | +$69 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.