Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $5 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.31 ยท ฮ -0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $5 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$19 (63.2%) on $31 risked, vs $-40 (-7.4%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 8.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $5. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $5 by Jun 19
+$19
+63.2% on $31 risked
Max Profit
+$519
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$31
Premium paid
Break-even
$5.19
-3.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
56%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-50.57 / -0.17 / 0.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$83 | +$84 | +$85 | +$87 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$58 | +$58 | +$59 | +$60 |
| $5 (-10%) | +$35 | +$34 | +$32 | +$33 |
| $5 (-7%) โ target | +$24 | +$22 | +$20 | +$19 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$15 | +$12 | +$9 | +$6 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$6 | +$2 | -$3 | -$10 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$5 | -$10 | -$21 |
| $6 (+2%) | -$6 | -$10 | -$16 | -$31 |
| $6 (+5%) | -$12 | -$16 | -$22 | -$31 |
| $6 (+10%) | -$20 | -$24 | -$28 | -$31 |
| $6 (+15%) | -$25 | -$28 | -$30 | -$31 |
| $6 (+20%) | -$28 | -$30 | -$31 | -$31 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.