Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $5.4 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $5 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.1 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $6 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$50 (9.1%) on $550 risked, vs +$60 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $6 by Jun 19
+$50
+9.1% on $550 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$50
Put floors you at $5
Break-even
$5.50
+1.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
76.65 / -0.14 / 0.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$50 | -$51 | -$51 | -$50 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$44 | -$46 | -$49 | -$50 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$34 | -$37 | -$42 | -$50 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$19 | -$23 | -$28 | -$37 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$8 | -$12 | -$16 | -$21 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$3 | -$7 | -$10 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$9 | +$6 | +$3 | +$1 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$22 | +$20 | +$18 | +$17 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$47 | +$45 | +$44 | +$44 |
| $6 (+11%) โ target | +$52 | +$51 | +$50 | +$50 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$72 | +$71 | +$71 | +$71 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$98 | +$98 | +$98 | +$98 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.