Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.25 ยท ฮ 0.49
LONG PUT ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.31 ยท ฮ -0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $6 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-6 (-10.4%) on $56 risked, vs +$60 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $6 by Jun 19
$-6
-10.4% on $56 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$56
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$4.94
-8.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-1.14 / -0.41 / 1.85
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | +$59 | +$59 | +$60 | +$62 |
| $5 (-15%) | +$36 | +$34 | +$34 | +$35 |
| $5 (-10%) | +$17 | +$12 | +$8 | +$8 |
| $5 (-5%) | +$4 | -$3 | -$12 | -$19 |
| $5 (-2%) | +$1 | -$9 | -$20 | -$35 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$10 | -$23 | -$46 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$0 | -$10 | -$23 | -$55 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$4 | -$7 | -$19 | -$39 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$15 | +$6 | -$4 | -$12 |
| $6 (+11%) โ target | +$18 | +$10 | +$0 | -$6 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$32 | +$25 | +$18 | +$15 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$53 | +$48 | +$44 | +$42 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.