Target Price Playground
CXM
$5.40
Forward Projection
If price hits $6 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $6 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.25 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CXM hits $6 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$25 (98.7%) on $25 risked, vs +$60 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $540. Options give 8.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CXM is at $6. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CXM hits $6 by Jun 19
+$25
+98.7% on $25 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$25
Premium paid
Break-even
$5.75
+6.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.43 / -0.24 / 0.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CXM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4 (-20%) | -$24 | -$25 | -$25 | -$25 |
| $5 (-15%) | -$22 | -$24 | -$25 | -$25 |
| $5 (-10%) | -$18 | -$21 | -$24 | -$25 |
| $5 (-5%) | -$11 | -$16 | -$21 | -$25 |
| $5 (-2%) | -$5 | -$10 | -$17 | -$25 |
| $5 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$5 | -$13 | -$25 |
| $6 (+2%) | +$6 | +$0 | -$7 | -$24 |
| $6 (+5%) | +$16 | +$10 | +$3 | -$8 |
| $6 (+10%) | +$35 | +$29 | +$24 | +$19 |
| $6 (+11%) โ target | +$39 | +$34 | +$29 | +$25 |
| $6 (+15%) | +$57 | +$52 | +$48 | +$46 |
| $6 (+20%) | +$81 | +$77 | +$75 | +$73 |
Uses CXM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.