Target Price Playground
DBX
$22.06
๐ข
DBX IV: 40.2% โ LOW
(-59.4% vs 30d avg of 98.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $22.06 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DBX hits $25 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$244 (11.1%) on $2,206 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DBX hits $25 by Jun 19
+$244
+11.1% on $2,206 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,206
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$22.06
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DBX Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $18 (-20%) | -$441 | -$441 | -$441 |
| $19 (-15%) | -$331 | -$331 | -$331 |
| $20 (-10%) | -$221 | -$221 | -$221 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$110 | -$110 | -$110 |
| $22 (-2%) | -$44 | -$44 | -$44 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $23 (+2%) | +$44 | +$44 | +$44 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$110 | +$110 | +$110 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$221 | +$221 | +$221 |
| $25 (+11%) โ target | +$244 | +$244 | +$244 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$331 | +$331 | +$331 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$441 | +$441 | +$441 |
Uses DBX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.