Target Price Playground
DBX
$22.06
๐ข
DBX IV: 40.2% โ LOW
(-59.4% vs 30d avg of 98.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.61 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.37 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DBX hits $25 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1 (0.4%) on $299 risked, vs +$294 (13.3%) for 100 shares on $2,206.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DBX is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DBX hits $25 by Jun 19
+$1
+0.4% on $299 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$299
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$24.99
+13.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.9 / -2.21 / 7.46
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DBX Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $18 (-20%) | +$153 | +$140 | +$133 | +$137 |
| $19 (-15%) | +$79 | +$53 | +$31 | +$27 |
| $20 (-10%) | +$27 | -$12 | -$55 | -$83 |
| $21 (-5%) | +$1 | -$48 | -$110 | -$194 |
| $22 (-2%) | -$2 | -$55 | -$123 | -$260 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$53 | -$122 | -$292 |
| $23 (+2%) | +$8 | -$46 | -$115 | -$248 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$26 | -$27 | -$93 | -$182 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$74 | +$27 | -$27 | -$71 |
| $25 (+13%) โ target | +$116 | +$73 | +$29 | +$2 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$140 | +$100 | +$61 | +$39 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$220 | +$188 | +$161 | +$149 |
Uses DBX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.