Target Price Playground
DDOG
$105.37
๐ข
DDOG IV: 62.1% โ LOW
(-23.3% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $100 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $105 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.87 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $100 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.55 ยท ฮ -0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DDOG hits $100 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$570 (132.0%) on $432 risked, vs $-537 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $10,537. Options give 25.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DDOG is at $100. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DDOG hits $100 by Jun 19
+$570
+132.0% on $432 risked
Max Profit
+$563
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$363
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$113.45
+7.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.24 / 1.69 / 3.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DDOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84 (-20%) | +$85 | +$113 | +$148 | +$123 |
| $90 (-15%) | +$78 | +$113 | +$169 | +$214 |
| $95 (-10%) | +$63 | +$102 | +$170 | +$355 |
| $100 (-5%) โ target | +$43 | +$80 | +$150 | +$550 |
| $103 (-2%) | +$26 | +$61 | +$125 | +$377 |
| $105 (0%) โ spot | +$15 | +$47 | +$106 | +$278 |
| $107 (+2%) | +$3 | +$32 | +$84 | +$188 |
| $111 (+5%) | -$17 | +$7 | +$46 | +$69 |
| $116 (+10%) | -$51 | -$38 | -$22 | -$87 |
| $121 (+15%) | -$87 | -$84 | -$91 | -$201 |
| $126 (+20%) | -$123 | -$131 | -$157 | -$281 |
Uses DDOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.