Target Price Playground
DDOG
$105.37
๐ข
DDOG IV: 62.1% โ LOW
(-23.3% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $115 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $105.37 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $100 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.55 ยท ฮ -0.39
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DDOG hits $115 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-92 (-0.8%) on $11,592 risked, vs +$963 (9.1%) for 100 shares on $10,537. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DDOG is at $115. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DDOG hits $115 by Jun 19
$-92
-0.8% on $11,592 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,592
Put floors you at $100
Break-even
$115.92
+10.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.27 / -8.48 / 17.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DDOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84 (-20%) | -$1,244 | -$1,368 | -$1,506 | -$1,592 |
| $90 (-15%) | -$1,051 | -$1,202 | -$1,389 | -$1,592 |
| $95 (-10%) | -$814 | -$985 | -$1,208 | -$1,592 |
| $100 (-5%) | -$535 | -$717 | -$958 | -$1,582 |
| $103 (-2%) | -$348 | -$532 | -$775 | -$1,266 |
| $105 (0%) โ spot | -$216 | -$400 | -$639 | -$1,055 |
| $107 (+2%) | -$78 | -$261 | -$495 | -$844 |
| $111 (+5%) | +$138 | -$40 | -$262 | -$528 |
| $115 (+9%) โ target | +$455 | +$287 | +$87 | -$92 |
| $121 (+15%) | +$937 | +$786 | +$624 | +$526 |
| $126 (+20%) | +$1,371 | +$1,238 | +$1,109 | +$1,052 |
Uses DDOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.