Target Price Playground
DDOG
$105.37
๐ข
DDOG IV: 62.1% โ LOW
(-23.3% vs 30d avg of 80.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $120 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $105 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.15 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DDOG hits $120 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$285 (23.5%) on $1,215 risked, vs +$1,463 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $10,537. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DDOG is at $120. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DDOG hits $120 by Jun 19
+$285
+23.5% on $1,215 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,215
Premium paid
Break-even
$117.15
+11.18% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.36 / -9.81 / 17.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DDOG Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $84 (-20%) | -$887 | -$1,021 | -$1,152 | -$1,215 |
| $90 (-15%) | -$728 | -$893 | -$1,076 | -$1,215 |
| $95 (-10%) | -$527 | -$718 | -$950 | -$1,215 |
| $100 (-5%) | -$285 | -$495 | -$760 | -$1,215 |
| $103 (-2%) | -$121 | -$338 | -$615 | -$1,215 |
| $105 (0%) โ spot | -$3 | -$223 | -$505 | -$1,178 |
| $107 (+2%) | +$120 | -$101 | -$384 | -$967 |
| $111 (+5%) | +$316 | +$95 | -$185 | -$651 |
| $116 (+10%) | +$670 | +$454 | +$191 | -$124 |
| $120 (+14%) โ target | +$965 | +$758 | +$516 | +$285 |
| $121 (+15%) | +$1,053 | +$849 | +$614 | +$403 |
| $126 (+20%) | +$1,462 | +$1,273 | +$1,070 | +$929 |
Uses DDOG's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.