Target Price Playground
DELL
$177.80
๐ข
DELL IV: 52.8% โ LOW
(-28.4% vs 30d avg of 73.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $200 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $180 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.5 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.2 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DELL hits $200 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$570 (132.6%) on $430 risked, vs +$2,220 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $17,780. Options give 10.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DELL is at $200. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DELL hits $200 by Jun 19
+$570
+132.6% on $430 risked
Max Profit
+$570
If the stock โฅ $190 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$430
Net debit
Break-even
$184.30
+3.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.38 / -0.57 / -1.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DELL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 (-20%) | -$324 | -$361 | -$409 | -$430 |
| $151 (-15%) | -$266 | -$307 | -$372 | -$430 |
| $160 (-10%) | -$196 | -$232 | -$302 | -$430 |
| $169 (-5%) | -$117 | -$142 | -$198 | -$430 |
| $174 (-2%) | -$66 | -$82 | -$120 | -$430 |
| $178 (0%) โ spot | -$32 | -$41 | -$65 | -$430 |
| $181 (+2%) | +$2 | +$1 | -$8 | -$294 |
| $187 (+5%) | +$52 | +$62 | +$79 | +$239 |
| $196 (+10%) | +$134 | +$161 | +$215 | +$570 |
| $200 (+12%) โ target | +$172 | +$207 | +$275 | +$570 |
| $204 (+15%) | +$209 | +$251 | +$329 | +$570 |
| $213 (+20%) | +$276 | +$327 | +$417 | +$570 |
Uses DELL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.