Target Price Playground
DELL
$177.80
๐ข
DELL IV: 52.8% โ LOW
(-28.4% vs 30d avg of 73.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $170 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $180 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.95 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.35 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DELL hits $170 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$909 (137.8%) on $660 risked, vs $-780 (-4.4%) for 100 shares on $17,780. Options give 31.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DELL is at $170. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DELL hits $170 by Jun 19
+$909
+137.8% on $660 risked
Max Profit
+$901
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$606
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$189.47
+6.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.45 / 1.58 / 6.76
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DELL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 (-20%) | +$298 | +$337 | +$375 | +$332 |
| $151 (-15%) | +$274 | +$326 | +$401 | +$418 |
| $160 (-10%) | +$232 | +$292 | +$392 | +$581 |
| $170 (-4%) โ target | +$168 | +$223 | +$324 | +$889 |
| $174 (-2%) | +$135 | +$185 | +$277 | +$642 |
| $178 (0%) โ spot | +$106 | +$150 | +$231 | +$456 |
| $181 (+2%) | +$75 | +$113 | +$179 | +$289 |
| $187 (+5%) | +$28 | +$54 | +$95 | +$75 |
| $196 (+10%) | -$54 | -$49 | -$53 | -$197 |
| $204 (+15%) | -$136 | -$151 | -$194 | -$381 |
| $213 (+20%) | -$215 | -$247 | -$316 | -$499 |
Uses DELL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.