Target Price Playground
DELL
$177.80
๐ข
DELL IV: 52.4% โ LOW
(-28.9% vs 30d avg of 73.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $200 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $180 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.5 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DELL hits $200 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$250 (14.3%) on $1,750 risked, vs +$2,220 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $17,780. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DELL is at $200. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DELL hits $200 by Jun 19
+$250
+14.3% on $1,750 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,750
Premium paid
Break-even
$197.50
+11.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.85 / -13.14 / 30.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DELL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 (-20%) | -$1,458 | -$1,601 | -$1,717 | -$1,750 |
| $151 (-15%) | -$1,259 | -$1,457 | -$1,652 | -$1,750 |
| $160 (-10%) | -$985 | -$1,232 | -$1,514 | -$1,750 |
| $169 (-5%) | -$629 | -$915 | -$1,269 | -$1,750 |
| $174 (-2%) | -$376 | -$678 | -$1,060 | -$1,750 |
| $178 (0%) โ spot | -$191 | -$500 | -$894 | -$1,750 |
| $181 (+2%) | +$7 | -$306 | -$706 | -$1,614 |
| $187 (+5%) | +$325 | +$11 | -$386 | -$1,081 |
| $196 (+10%) | +$913 | +$609 | +$241 | -$192 |
| $200 (+12%) โ target | +$1,229 | +$935 | +$590 | +$250 |
| $204 (+15%) | +$1,563 | +$1,281 | +$962 | +$697 |
| $213 (+20%) | +$2,266 | +$2,013 | +$1,751 | +$1,586 |
Uses DELL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.