Target Price Playground
DELL
$177.80
๐ข
DELL IV: 52.4% โ LOW
(-28.9% vs 30d avg of 73.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $155 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $180 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.4 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DELL hits $155 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$860 (52.4%) on $1,640 risked, vs $-2,280 (-12.8%) for 100 shares on $17,780. Options give 4.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DELL is at $155. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DELL hits $155 by Jun 19
+$860
+52.4% on $1,640 risked
Max Profit
+$16,360
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,640
Premium paid
Break-even
$163.60
-7.99% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.26 / -12.03 / 30.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DELL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $142 (-20%) | +$2,280 | +$2,186 | +$2,118 | +$2,136 |
| $151 (-15%) | +$1,589 | +$1,441 | +$1,294 | +$1,247 |
| $155 (-13%) โ target | +$1,312 | +$1,141 | +$956 | +$860 |
| $160 (-10%) | +$975 | +$776 | +$543 | +$358 |
| $169 (-5%) | +$442 | +$204 | -$101 | -$531 |
| $174 (-2%) | +$162 | -$91 | -$425 | -$1,064 |
| $178 (0%) โ spot | -$9 | -$269 | -$615 | -$1,420 |
| $181 (+2%) | -$167 | -$432 | -$783 | -$1,640 |
| $187 (+5%) | -$382 | -$647 | -$996 | -$1,640 |
| $196 (+10%) | -$683 | -$939 | -$1,258 | -$1,640 |
| $204 (+15%) | -$922 | -$1,156 | -$1,426 | -$1,640 |
| $213 (+20%) | -$1,108 | -$1,313 | -$1,526 | -$1,640 |
Uses DELL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.