Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.24 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $56 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.25 ยท ฮ -0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $53 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$301 (151.3%) on $199 risked, vs $-761 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 12.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $53 by Jun 19
+$301
+151.3% on $199 risked
Max Profit
+$301
If the stock โค $56 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$199
Net debit
Break-even
$59.01
-2.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-22.82 / -0.34 / 2.27
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | +$254 | +$273 | +$293 | +$301 |
| $52 (-15%) | +$208 | +$232 | +$267 | +$301 |
| $53 (-13%) โ target | +$180 | +$202 | +$240 | +$301 |
| $55 (-10%) | +$146 | +$164 | +$199 | +$301 |
| $58 (-5%) | +$73 | +$78 | +$88 | +$143 |
| $59 (-2%) | +$28 | +$24 | +$14 | -$39 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$10 | -$31 | -$160 |
| $62 (+2%) | -$27 | -$42 | -$72 | -$199 |
| $64 (+5%) | -$63 | -$84 | -$121 | -$199 |
| $67 (+10%) | -$113 | -$136 | -$170 | -$199 |
| $70 (+15%) | -$147 | -$167 | -$190 | -$199 |
| $73 (+20%) | -$170 | -$185 | -$197 | -$199 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.