Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $68 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.35 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $65 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.68 ยท ฮ 0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $68 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$233 (139.7%) on $167 risked, vs +$739 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 11.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $68. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $68 by Jun 19
+$233
+139.7% on $167 risked
Max Profit
+$233
If the stock โฅ $65 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$167
Net debit
Break-even
$62.67
+3.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
21.41 / -0.71 / 0.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | -$156 | -$163 | -$167 | -$167 |
| $52 (-15%) | -$139 | -$152 | -$164 | -$167 |
| $55 (-10%) | -$109 | -$127 | -$151 | -$167 |
| $58 (-5%) | -$66 | -$83 | -$113 | -$167 |
| $59 (-2%) | -$35 | -$48 | -$73 | -$167 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | -$14 | -$22 | -$40 | -$167 |
| $62 (+2%) | +$9 | +$5 | -$4 | -$85 |
| $64 (+5%) | +$42 | +$45 | +$52 | +$97 |
| $67 (+10%) | +$94 | +$107 | +$134 | +$233 |
| $68 (+12%) โ target | +$114 | +$131 | +$161 | +$233 |
| $70 (+15%) | +$137 | +$156 | +$188 | +$233 |
| $73 (+20%) | +$170 | +$190 | +$216 | +$233 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.