Target Price Playground
DLB
$60.61
๐ข
DLB IV: 32.3% โ LOW
(-63.0% vs 30d avg of 87.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $58 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $61 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.75 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $58 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.9 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If DLB hits $58 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$192 (103.5%) on $185 risked, vs $-261 (-4.3%) for 100 shares on $6,061. Options give 24.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if DLB is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if DLB hits $58 by Jun 19
+$192
+103.5% on $185 risked
Max Profit
+$188
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$185
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$61.41
+1.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.89 / 0.29 / 2.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| DLB Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $48 (-20%) | +$92 | +$97 | +$99 | +$95 |
| $52 (-15%) | +$84 | +$95 | +$105 | +$100 |
| $55 (-10%) | +$66 | +$81 | +$103 | +$121 |
| $58 (-4%) โ target | +$32 | +$46 | +$70 | +$192 |
| $59 (-2%) | +$16 | +$27 | +$46 | +$103 |
| $61 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$8 | +$21 | +$38 |
| $62 (+2%) | -$15 | -$11 | -$5 | -$17 |
| $64 (+5%) | -$39 | -$40 | -$44 | -$80 |
| $67 (+10%) | -$77 | -$85 | -$102 | -$142 |
| $70 (+15%) | -$109 | -$121 | -$141 | -$170 |
| $73 (+20%) | -$134 | -$147 | -$164 | -$180 |
Uses DLB's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.